YouGov predict a UKIP win in May

New polling by YouGov puts UKIP in second place for the EU elections behind Labour, the Tories in third place and the Lib Dems in fourth place facing the prospect of losing all of their MEPs.

Crucially, the president of YouGov, Peter Kellner, predicts that UKIP will win the EU elections based on this polling because support for UKIP always increases as the election gets closer. This is quite an endorsement of UKIP's prospects because Kellner is married to the EU's foreign minister, Baroness Ashton and takes every opportunity to suppress UKIP polling.